ALGORITHMIC DECISION-MAKING
"Outcome-Driven Dynamic Refugee Assignment with Allocation Balancing," Operations Research (Forthcoming, 2024) (with E. Paulson).
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Conference version appeared in the 23rd ACM Conference on Economics and Computation (EC '22).
"Public Attitudes on Performance for Algorithmic and Human Decision-Makers," PNAS Nexus (Accepted, 2024) (with E. Paulson).
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Conference version appeared in the 7th AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society (AIES '24).
"Dynamic Matching with Post-allocation Service and its Application to Refugee Resettlement," 25th ACM Conference on Economics and Computation (EC '24) (Accepted, 2024) (with S. Lee, V. Manshadi, R. Niazadeh, and E. Paulson).
"Learning under Random Distributional Shifts," Proceedings of the 27th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS '24) (2024) (with E. Paulson and D. Rothenhäusler).
"Combining Outcome-Based and Preference-Based Matching: A Constrained Priority Mechanism," Political Analysis, Vol. 30, No. 1 (2022) (with A. Acharya and J. Hainmueller).
"Can Non-Experts Really Emulate Statistical Learning Methods? A Comment on 'The Accuracy, Fairness, and Limits of Predicting Recidivism'," Political Analysis, Vol. 27, No. 3 (2019).
"Improving Refugee Integration Through Data-Driven Algorithmic Assignment," Science, Vol. 359, No. 6373 (2018) (with J. Ferwerda, J. Hainmueller, A. Dillon, D. Hangartner, D. Lawrence, and J. Weinstein).
"Algorithmic Decision-Making, Fairness, and the Distribution of Impact: Application to Refugee Matching in Sweden" (with L. Martén).
"Leveraging the Power of Place: A Data-Driven Decision Helper to Improve the Location Decisions of Economic Immigrants" (with J. Ferwerda, N. Adams-Cohen, J. Fei, D. Lawrence, J. Weinstein, and J. Hainmueller).
CAUSAL INFERENCE AND EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN
CAUSAL INFERENCE
"Estimating Causal Moderation Effects with Randomized Treatments and Non-Randomized Moderators," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, Vol. 184, No. 1 (2021).
"A Generalized Approach to Power Analysis for Local Average Treatment Effects," Statistical Science, Vol. 35, No. 2 (2020).
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Statistical software: powerLATE R package (with E. Yang), available on CRAN, GitHub
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Tutorial: available here
"Comparative Causal Mediation and Relaxing the Assumption of No Mediator-Outcome Confounding: An Application to International Law and Audience Costs," Political Analysis, Vol. 28, No. 2 (2020).
"Effect Heterogeneity and the Challenges of Causal Attribution in Regression Discontinuity Designs" (with T. Nowacki).
DESIGN, ANALYSIS, AND BEHAVIOR IN CONJOINT EXPERIMENTS
"Odd Profiles in Conjoint Experimental Designs: Effects on Survey-Taking Attention and Behavior," Political Analysis (Accepted, 2024) (with L. Jenke).
"Using Conjoint Experiments to Analyze Election Outcomes: The Essential Role of the Average Marginal Component Effect," Political Analysis, Vol. 31, No. 4 (2023) (with J. Hainmueller, D. Hopkins, and T. Yamamoto).
"Using Eye-Tracking to Understand Decision-Making in Conjoint Experiments," Political Analysis, Vol. 29, No. 1 (2021) (with L. Jenke, J. Hainmueller, and D. Hangartner).
"Beyond the Breaking Point? Survey Satisficing in Conjoint Experiments," Political Science Research and Methods, Vol. 9, No. 1 (2021) (with J. Hainmueller, D. Hopkins, and T. Yamamoto).
"Conjoint Survey Experiments," in Advances in Experimental Political Science, J. Druckman and D. Green (eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2021 (with J. Hainmueller, D. Hopkins, and T. Yamamoto).
"The Number of Choice Tasks and Survey Satisficing in Conjoint Experiments," Political Analysis, Vol. 26, No. 1 (2018) (with J. Hainmueller, D. Hopkins, and T. Yamamoto).
"A Latent-Mixture Model of Strategy Use in Multi-Attribute Political Choice" (with N. Banavar).
OPINION RESEARCH
"Europeans' Support for Refugees of Varying Background is Stable Over Time," Nature, Vol. 620, No. 7975 (2023) (with J. Hainmueller and D. Hangartner).
"How Membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization Transforms Public Support for War," PNAS Nexus, Vol. 2, No. 7 (2023) (with M. Tomz and J. Weeks).
"Are Subnational Policymakers' Policy Preferences Nationalized? Evidence from Surveys of Township, Municipal, County, and State Officials," Legislative Studies Quarterly, Vol. 48, No. 2 (2023) (with N. Lee and M. Landgrave).
"Why Austerity? The Mass Politics of a Contested Policy," American Political Science Review, Vol. 115, No. 2 (2021) (with M. Bechtel and Y. Margalit).
"Left-Right Ideology and the Debate over International Bailouts: The Case of Grexit," Journal of Politics, Vol. 82, No. 2 (2020) (with M. Bechtel, J. Hainmueller, and Y. Margalit).
"Europeans Support a Proportional Allocation of Asylum Seekers," Nature Human Behaviour, Vol. 1, No. 0133 (2017) (with J. Hainmueller and D. Hangartner).
"How Economic, Humanitarian, and Religious Concerns Shape European Attitudes Toward Asylum Seekers," Science, Vol. 354, No. 6309 (2016) (with J. Hainmueller and D. Hangartner).
Other
"Biodefense and Transparency: The Dual-Use Dilemma," Nonproliferation Review, Vol. 18, No. 2 (2011).
"Governance of Emerging Dual-Use Technologies," in Innovation, Dual Use, and Security: Managing the Risks of Emerging Biological and Chemical Technologies, Jonathan B. Tucker (ed.), Cambridge: MIT Press, 2012 (with J. Tucker).