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Peer-Reviewed RESEARCH

"Using Conjoint Experiments to Analyze Election Outcomes: The Essential Role of the Average Marginal Component Effect," Political Analysis, Forthcoming (with J. Hainmueller, D. Hopkins, and T. Yamamoto).

"Outcome-Driven Dynamic Refugee Assignment with Allocation Balancing," ACM Conference on Economics and Computation (EC), (2022) (with E. Paulson) (peer-reviewed conference paper).


"Are Subnational Policymakers' Policy Preferences Nationalized? Evidence from Surveys of Township, Municipal, County, and State Officials,Legislative Studies Quarterly, Forthcoming (with N. Lee and M. Landgrave).


"Why Austerity? The Mass Politics of a Contested Policy," American Political Science Review, Vol. 115, No. 2 (2021) (with M. Bechtel and Y. Margalit).

"Estimating Causal Moderation Effects with Randomized Treatments and Non-Randomized Moderators," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, Vol. 184, No. 1 (2021).

"Combining Outcome-Based and Preference-Based Matching: A Constrained Priority Mechanism," Political Analysis, Vol. 30, No. 1 (2022) (with A. Acharya and J. Hainmueller).

"A Generalized Approach to Power Analysis for Local Average Treatment Effects," Statistical Science, Vol. 35, No. 2 (2020).

  • Statistical software: powerLATE R package (with E. Yang), available on CRAN, GitHub

"Using Eye-Tracking to Understand Decision-Making in Conjoint Experiments," Political Analysis, Vol. 29, No. 1 (2021) (with L. Jenke, J. Hainmueller, and D. Hangartner).

"Comparative Causal Mediation and Relaxing the Assumption of No Mediator-Outcome Confounding: An Application to International Law and Audience Costs," Political Analysis, Vol. 28, No. 2 (2020).

  • Statistical software: ccmEstimator R package (with X. Wu), available on CRAN, GitHub

"Left-Right Ideology and the Debate over International Bailouts: The Case of Grexit," Journal of Politics, Vol. 82, No. 2 (2020) (with M. Bechtel, J. Hainmueller, and Y. Margalit).

"Beyond the Breaking Point? Survey Satisficing in Conjoint Experiments," Political Science Research and Methods, Vol. 9, No. 1 (2021) (with J. Hainmueller, D. Hopkins, and T. Yamamoto).

"Can Non-Experts Really Emulate Statistical Learning Methods? A Comment on 'The Accuracy, Fairness, and Limits of Predicting Recidivism'," Political Analysis, Vol. 27, No. 3 (2019).

"Improving Refugee Integration Through Data-Driven Algorithmic Assignment," Science, Vol. 359, No. 6373 (2018) (with J. Ferwerda, J. Hainmueller, A. Dillon, D. Hangartner, D. Lawrence, and J. Weinstein).

"The Number of Choice Tasks and Survey Satisficing in Conjoint Experiments," Political Analysis, Vol. 26, No. 1 (2018) (with J. Hainmueller, D. Hopkins, and T. Yamamoto).

"Europeans Support a Proportional Allocation of Asylum Seekers," Nature Human Behaviour, Vol. 1, No. 0133 (2017) (with J. Hainmueller and D. Hangartner).

"How Economic, Humanitarian, and Religious Concerns Shape European Attitudes Toward Asylum Seekers," Science, Vol. 354, No. 6309 (2016) (with J. Hainmueller and D. Hangartner).

"Biodefense and Transparency: The Dual-Use Dilemma," Nonproliferation Review, Vol. 18, No. 2 (2011).

Book Chapters

"Conjoint Survey Experiments," in Advances in Experimental Political Science, J. Druckman and D. Green (eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2021 (with J. Hainmueller, D. Hopkins, and T. Yamamoto).

"Governance of Emerging Dual-Use Technologies," in Innovation, Dual Use, and Security: Managing the Risks of Emerging Biological and Chemical Technologies, Jonathan B. Tucker (ed.), Cambridge: MIT Press, 2012 (with J. Tucker).

working papers

"Effect Heterogeneity and the Challenges of Causal Attribution in Regression Discontinuity Designs" (with T. Nowacki).

"Random Distribution Shift in Refugee Placement: Strategies for Building Robust Models" (with E. Paulson and D. Rothenhäusler).

"Odd Profiles in Conjoint Experimental Designs: Effects on Survey-Taking Attention and Behavior" (with L. Jenke).

"How NATO Membership Transforms Public Support for War" (with M. Tomz and J. Weeks).

"The Resilience of European Support for Asylum Seekers in Times of Crisis" (with J. Hainmueller and D. Hangartner).

"Algorithmic Decision-Making, Fairness, and the Distribution of Impact: Application to Refugee Matching in Sweden" (with L. Martén).

"Leveraging the Power of Place: A Data-Driven Decision Helper to Improve the Location Decisions of Economic Immigrants" (with J. Ferwerda, N. Adams-Cohen, J. Fei, D. Lawrence, J. Weinstein, and J. Hainmueller).

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