ALGORITHMIC DECISION-MAKING
"Outcome-Driven Dynamic Refugee Assignment with Allocation Balancing," Operations Research (Forthcoming, 2024) (with E. Paulson).​
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Conference version appeared in the 23rd ACM Conference on Economics and Computation (EC '22).
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"Public Attitudes on Performance for Algorithmic and Human Decision-Makers," PNAS Nexus (Accepted, 2024) (with E. Paulson).
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Conference version appeared in the 7th AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society (AIES '24).
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"Dynamic Matching with Post-allocation Service and its Application to Refugee Resettlement," 25th ACM Conference on Economics and Computation (EC '24) (Accepted, 2024) (with S. Lee, V. Manshadi, R. Niazadeh, and E. Paulson).​
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"Learning under Random Distributional Shifts," Proceedings of the 27th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS '24) (2024) (with E. Paulson and D. Rothenhäusler).
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"Combining Outcome-Based and Preference-Based Matching: A Constrained Priority Mechanism," Political Analysis, Vol. 30, No. 1 (2022) (with A. Acharya and J. Hainmueller).
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"Can Non-Experts Really Emulate Statistical Learning Methods? A Comment on 'The Accuracy, Fairness, and Limits of Predicting Recidivism'," Political Analysis, Vol. 27, No. 3 (2019).
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"Improving Refugee Integration Through Data-Driven Algorithmic Assignment," Science, Vol. 359, No. 6373 (2018) (with J. Ferwerda, J. Hainmueller, A. Dillon, D. Hangartner, D. Lawrence, and J. Weinstein).​
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"Algorithmic Decision-Making, Fairness, and the Distribution of Impact: Application to Refugee Matching in Sweden" (with L. Martén).
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"Leveraging the Power of Place: A Data-Driven Decision Helper to Improve the Location Decisions of Economic Immigrants" (with J. Ferwerda, N. Adams-Cohen, J. Fei, D. Lawrence, J. Weinstein, and J. Hainmueller).
CAUSAL INFERENCE AND EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN
CAUSAL INFERENCE
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​"Estimating Causal Moderation Effects with Randomized Treatments and Non-Randomized Moderators," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, Vol. 184, No. 1 (2021).
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"A Generalized Approach to Power Analysis for Local Average Treatment Effects," Statistical Science, Vol. 35, No. 2 (2020).
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Statistical software: powerLATE R package (with E. Yang), available on CRAN, GitHub
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Tutorial: available here
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"Comparative Causal Mediation and Relaxing the Assumption of No Mediator-Outcome Confounding: An Application to International Law and Audience Costs," Political Analysis, Vol. 28, No. 2 (2020).
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"Effect Heterogeneity and the Challenges of Causal Attribution in Regression Discontinuity Designs" (with T. Nowacki).
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DESIGN, ANALYSIS, AND BEHAVIOR IN CONJOINT EXPERIMENTS
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"Odd Profiles in Conjoint Experimental Designs: Effects on Survey-Taking Attention and Behavior," Political Analysis (Forthcoming, 2025) (with L. Jenke).
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"Using Conjoint Experiments to Analyze Election Outcomes: The Essential Role of the Average Marginal Component Effect," Political Analysis, Vol. 31, No. 4 (2023) (with J. Hainmueller, D. Hopkins, and T. Yamamoto).
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"Using Eye-Tracking to Understand Decision-Making in Conjoint Experiments," Political Analysis, Vol. 29, No. 1 (2021) (with L. Jenke, J. Hainmueller, and D. Hangartner).
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"Beyond the Breaking Point? Survey Satisficing in Conjoint Experiments," Political Science Research and Methods, Vol. 9, No. 1 (2021) (with J. Hainmueller, D. Hopkins, and T. Yamamoto).
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"Conjoint Survey Experiments," in Advances in Experimental Political Science, J. Druckman and D. Green (eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2021 (with J. Hainmueller, D. Hopkins, and T. Yamamoto).
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"The Number of Choice Tasks and Survey Satisficing in Conjoint Experiments," Political Analysis, Vol. 26, No. 1 (2018) (with J. Hainmueller, D. Hopkins, and T. Yamamoto).
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"A Latent-Mixture Model of Strategy Use in Multi-Attribute Subjective Choice: Application to Conjoint Experiments in Political Science" (with N. Banavar).
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OPINION RESEARCH
"Europeans' Support for Refugees of Varying Background is Stable Over Time," Nature, Vol. 620, No. 7975 (2023) (with J. Hainmueller and D. Hangartner).
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"How Membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization Transforms Public Support for War," PNAS Nexus, Vol. 2, No. 7 (2023) (with M. Tomz and J. Weeks).
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"Are Subnational Policymakers' Policy Preferences Nationalized? Evidence from Surveys of Township, Municipal, County, and State Officials," Legislative Studies Quarterly, Vol. 48, No. 2 (2023) (with N. Lee and M. Landgrave).
"Why Austerity? The Mass Politics of a Contested Policy," American Political Science Review, Vol. 115, No. 2 (2021) (with M. Bechtel and Y. Margalit).
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"Left-Right Ideology and the Debate over International Bailouts: The Case of Grexit," Journal of Politics, Vol. 82, No. 2 (2020) (with M. Bechtel, J. Hainmueller, and Y. Margalit).
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"Europeans Support a Proportional Allocation of Asylum Seekers," Nature Human Behaviour, Vol. 1, No. 0133 (2017) (with J. Hainmueller and D. Hangartner).
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"How Economic, Humanitarian, and Religious Concerns Shape European Attitudes Toward Asylum Seekers," Science, Vol. 354, No. 6309 (2016) (with J. Hainmueller and D. Hangartner).
Other
"Biodefense and Transparency: The Dual-Use Dilemma," Nonproliferation Review, Vol. 18, No. 2 (2011).
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"Governance of Emerging Dual-Use Technologies," in Innovation, Dual Use, and Security: Managing the Risks of Emerging Biological and Chemical Technologies, Jonathan B. Tucker (ed.), Cambridge: MIT Press, 2012 (with J. Tucker).